This paper develops asymptotic prediction functions that approximate the shape of the density of future observations and correct for parameter uncertainty. The functions are based on extensions to a definition of predictive likelihood originally suggested by Lauritzen and Hinkley. The prediction function is shown to possess efficiency properties based on the Kullback-Leibler measure of information loss. Examples of the application of the prediction function and the derivation of relative efficiency are shown for linear normal models, nonnormal models, and ARCH models.
MLA
Cooley, Thomas F., and William R. Parke. “Asymptotic Likelihood-Based Prediction Functions.” Econometrica, vol. 58, .no 5, Econometric Society, 1990, pp. 1215-1234, https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938307
Chicago
Cooley, Thomas F., and William R. Parke. “Asymptotic Likelihood-Based Prediction Functions.” Econometrica, 58, .no 5, (Econometric Society: 1990), 1215-1234. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938307
APA
Cooley, T. F., & Parke, W. R. (1990). Asymptotic Likelihood-Based Prediction Functions. Econometrica, 58(5), 1215-1234. https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938307
We are deeply saddened by the passing of Kate Ho, the John L. Weinberg Professor of Economics and Business Policy at Princeton University and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. Kate was a brilliant IO economist and scholar whose impact on the profession will resonate for many years to come.
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