Shape restrictions have played a central role in economics as both testable implications of theory and sufficient conditions for obtaining informative counterfactual predictions. In this paper, we provide a general procedure for inference under shape restrictions in identified and partially identified models defined by conditional moment restrictions. Our test statistics and proposed inference methods are based on the minimum of the generalized method of moments (GMM) objective function with and without shape restrictions. Uniformly valid critical values are obtained through a bootstrap procedure that approximates a subset of the true local parameter space. In an empirical analysis of the effect of childbearing on female labor supply, we show that employing shape restrictions in linear instrumental variables (IV) models can lead to shorter confidence regions for both local and average treatment effects. Other applications we discuss include inference for the variability of quantile IV treatment effects and for bounds on average equivalent variation in a demand model with general heterogeneity.
MLA
Chernozhukov, Victor, et al. “Constrained Conditional Moment Restriction Models.” Econometrica, vol. 91, .no 2, Econometric Society, 2023, pp. 709-736, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA13830
Chicago
Chernozhukov, Victor, Whitney K. Newey, and Andres Santos. “Constrained Conditional Moment Restriction Models.” Econometrica, 91, .no 2, (Econometric Society: 2023), 709-736. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA13830
APA
Chernozhukov, V., Newey, W. K., & Santos, A. (2023). Constrained Conditional Moment Restriction Models. Econometrica, 91(2), 709-736. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA13830
Supplement to "Constrained Conditional Moment Restriction Models"
Chernozhukov, Victor, Whitney K. Newey, and Andres Santos
This Supplemental Appendix to “Constrained Conditional Moment Restriction Models” is organized as follows. Sections A.1 provides a review of AM spaces. Section A.2 specializes the general results of Section 3 to three additional examples: (i) GMM, (ii) Quantile Treatment Effects, and (iii) The Slutsky restriction in a partially linear model. The proofs for all results can be found in the working paper Chernozhukov et al. (2022).
We are deeply saddened by the passing of Kate Ho, the John L. Weinberg Professor of Economics and Business Policy at Princeton University and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. Kate was a brilliant IO economist and scholar whose impact on the profession will resonate for many years to come.
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