Structural transformation in most currently developing countries takes the form of a rapid rise in services but limited industrialization. In this paper, we propose a new methodology to structurally estimate productivity growth in service industries that circumvents the notorious difficulties in measuring quality improvements. In our theory, the expansion of the service sector is both a consequence—due to income effects—and a cause—due to productivity growth—of the development process. We estimate the model using Indian household data. We find that productivity growth in nontradable consumer services such as retail, restaurants, or residential real estate was an important driver of structural transformation and rising living standards between 1987 and 2011. However, the welfare gains were heavily skewed toward high‐income urban dwellers.
MLA
Fan, Tianyu, et al. “Growing Like India—the Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth.” Econometrica, vol. 91, .no 4, Econometric Society, 2023, pp. 1457-1494, https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA20964
Chicago
Fan, Tianyu, Michael Peters, and Fabrizio Zilibotti. “Growing Like India—the Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth.” Econometrica, 91, .no 4, (Econometric Society: 2023), 1457-1494. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA20964
APA
Fan, T., Peters, M., & Zilibotti, F. (2023). Growing Like India—the Unequal Effects of Service-Led Growth. Econometrica, 91(4), 1457-1494. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA20964
We are deeply saddened by the passing of Kate Ho, the John L. Weinberg Professor of Economics and Business Policy at Princeton University and a Fellow of the Econometric Society. Kate was a brilliant IO economist and scholar whose impact on the profession will resonate for many years to come.
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