Econometrica

Journal Of The Econometric Society

An International Society for the Advancement of Economic
Theory in its Relation to Statistics and Mathematics

Edited by: Guido W. Imbens • Print ISSN: 0012-9682 • Online ISSN: 1468-0262

Econometrica: Mar, 2025, Volume 93, Issue 2

Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys

https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA20203
p. 395-438

Nikhil Agarwal|Charles Hodgson|Paulo Somaini

While the mechanism design paradigm emphasizes notions of efficiency based on agent preferences, policymakers often focus on alternative objectives. School districts emphasize educational achievement, and transplantation communities focus on patient survival. It is unclear whether choice‐based mechanisms perform well when assessed based on these outcomes. This paper evaluates the assignment mechanism for allocating deceased donor kidneys on the basis of patient life‐years from transplantation (LYFT). We examine the role of choice in increasing LYFT and compare realized assignments to benchmarks that remove choice. Our model combines choices and outcomes in order to study how selection affects LYFT. We show how to identify and estimate the model using instruments derived from the mechanism. The estimates suggest that the design in use selects patients with better post‐transplant survival prospects and matches them well, resulting in an average LYFT of 9.29, which is 1.75 years more than a random assignment. However, the maximum aggregate LYFT is 14.08. Realizing the majority of the gains requires transplanting relatively healthy patients, who would have longer life expectancies even without a transplant. Therefore, a policymaker faces a dilemma between transplanting patients who are sicker and those for whom life will be extended the longest.


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Supplemental Material

Supplement to "Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys"

Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson, and Paulo Somaini

This supplement contains material not found within the manuscript.

Supplement to "Choices and Outcomes in Assignment Mechanisms: The Allocation of Deceased Donor Kidneys"

Nikhil Agarwal, Charles Hodgson, and Paulo Somaini

The replication package for this paper is available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14025855. The authors were granted an exemption to publish their data because either access to the data is restricted or the authors do not have the right to republish them. However, the authors included in the package a simulated or synthetic dataset that allows running their codes. The Journal checked the synthetic/simulated data and the codes for their ability to generate all tables and figures in the paper and approved online appendices. However, the synthetic/simulated data are not designed to reproduce the same results.


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